Championship week in college basketball is heating up with some tournaments concluding on Tuesday night and the Power 5 conference tournaments getting underway.
Here's a handful of best bets for today's slate.
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Northern Arizona +5.5 vs. Montana
-- NAU dispatched top-seeded Eastern Washington in the second round of the Big Sky tournament and now will play a Montana team it split the regular season matchups with. It just feels like too many points.
-- NAU doesn't turn the ball over and is a capable three-point shooting team, which will hopefully help offset Montana's shooting edges offensively.
Saint Mary's +2.5 vs. Gonzaga
-- KenPom projects a 1-point Saint Mary's win.
-- Saint Mary's biggest edge comes with its three-point shooting. Saint Mary's ranks 35th against Gonzaga's 249th-ranked defense.
-- Saint Mary's also ranks 7th in adjusted defensive efficiency and is capable of matching up with Gonzaga's top-ranks offense.
Oral Roberts -10.5 vs. North Dakota St.
-- Oral Roberts is a buzzsaw offensively and needs a Summit League win to ensure a trip to the NCAA tournament.
UT Rio Grande Valley +8.0 vs. Tarleton St.
-- This is too any points for a team that beat Tarleton twice during the regular season.
-- KenPom Projects a 5-point Tarleton win.
-- This game could be decided at the free throw line with two teams who get to the free throw line more than anyone but struggle to make the freebies. Tarleton ranks 1st in free throw attempts and 269th in free throw percentage. UTRGV ranks 2nd in attempts but 256th in percentage.
Montana St. -6.0 vs. Weber St.
-- Montana State's biggest edge is in two-point percentage, ranking 69th against Weber State's defense that ranks 244th.
