The AFC will be a slugfest this season.
The team that represents this conference in the Super Bowl will certainly have earned it. But who will have the chance to do so? Let’s find out by taking a look at the betting odds at WynnBET’s online sportsbook as of early August.
2023 AFC Championship Odds
Odds as of Monday, Aug. 1.
Buffalo Bills +300
Kansas City Chiefs +500
Los Angeles Chargers +600
Denver Broncos +800
Baltimore Ravens +1000
Cincinnati Bengals +1000
Cleveland Browns +1200
Indianapolis Colts +1200
Miami Dolphins +1200
Tennessee Titans +1500
New England Patriots +2000
Las Vegas Raiders +2000
Pittsburgh Steelers +3000
Jacksonville Jaguars +5000
New York Jets +6000
Houston Texans +10000
One Team That Stands Out
The fading of the Cincinnati Bengals has officially gone too far. Last year’s AFC Champion is behind four different teams and tied with a fellow division rival, the Baltimore Ravens, who have won just one playoff game in the Lamar Jackson era.
I mentioned in my AFC North win totals article that I’ve completely changed my tune on the Bengals this summer. For much of the offseason, I was prepared to fade this team in the betting market. They were an average team that got hot in the playoffs en route to a Super Bowl appearance.
This was a team that ranked 17th in DVOA last year, despite being one of the healthier squads and facing a fourth-place schedule. The Bengals notably lost to the New York Jets and the Chicago Bears and were on the right side of some coin-flip results in the postseason. All of those are valid points for why I wouldn’t bet the win total of 9.5.
But there is value on this team to get hot again in the playoffs, especially at a price of +1000.
Despite facing a tougher schedule, I fully expect the Bengals to be back in the mix. The offensive line has been bolstered in the offseason, and Cincinnati’s playmakers are still there. Ja’Marr Chase set the league on fire as a rookie, recording 81 receptions for 1,455 yards and 13 touchdowns. Tee Higgins caught 110 passes for 1,091 yards and six scores.
Most importantly, Joe Burrow is the type of quarterback you want to back in a championship futures market. He has been at his best when the lights are brightest, ever since leading the LSU Tigers to a national championship.
Burrow produced the best Pro Football Focus grade among all quarterbacks in the NFL last year with a mark of 91.8. Burrow ranked seventh in EPA (expected points added) per play. He completed 70.4% of his passes for 4,611 passing yards to go along with 34 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.
This is a team with an upside similar to that of the Kansas City Chiefs or Los Angeles Chargers, but the Bengals are not being priced that way. I believe they are worth monitoring throughout the season.