The 2023-24 college football season is coming up quickly, as Notre Dame and Navy will kick off the season on August 26 at 2:30 pm ET.
There are many storylines across these 100+ FBS programs, including the Georgia Bulldogs potentially winning another title, Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr., question marks surrounding the Alabama Crimson Tide, and more.
These could impact the overall win total of each team, and below, we’ll look at the top 10 projected teams in terms of odds to win the College Football National Championship and examine their win total lines.
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College Football Top 10 Win Totals Best Bets
Georgia Bulldogs
Over 11.5 (+115)
Under 11.5 (-135)
2022 Record: 15-0
The Bulldogs have presented loaded defenses over the past couple of seasons, offering up numerous first-round NFL draft choices, and the 2023-24 season might be similar.
There’s plenty of senior talent on this team, especially along the defensive line with Nazir Stackhouse and Warren Brinson, and potential first-round talent in the secondary with Kamari Lassiter and Javon Bullard.
The offense has redshirt junior Carson Beck under center, who will be looking for a tight end, and another top 10 or 15 NFL draft choice in Brock Bowers. They also saw Dominic Lovett transfer in from Missouri.
The Bulldogs are in an excellent position to win their third straight National Championship.
Georgia Bulldogs Best Bet: Over 11.5 Wins (+115)
Ohio State Buckeyes
Over 10.5 (-120)
Under 10.5 (+100)
2022 Record: 11-2
C.J. Stroud, Paris Johnson Jr., Zach Harrison, Dawand Jones, and Jaxon Smith-Nijgba have all left for the NFL, so it’s safe to ask what this team looks like heading into this season.
Kyle McCord will likely be the starting quarterback. He’s six-foot-three and considered accurate in the pocket. He completed 41 of 58 college passes for over 600 yards.
To assist McCord, he has Harrison Jr., who should be one of the top draft picks in the upcoming draft, and Emeka Egbuka, who was a saving grace for this team as Smith-Njigba was injured most of last season.
There’s still plenty of talent here defensively as well, with JT Tuimoloau, Jack Sawyer, Michael Hall Jr., and more.
This year’s Michigan game might be more interesting, but Ohio State should secure another Big Ten title.
Ohio State Buckeyes Best Bet: Over 10.5 Wins (-120)
Alabama Crimson Tide
Over 10.5 (+150)
Under 10.5 (-180)
2022 Record: 11-2
This might be the most question marks we’ve had for a Crimson Tide team in quite some time.
Coming off a two-loss season, the Tide lost Bryce Young as he was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, and now turn things over to Jalen Milroe.
However, before diving into the offense, the defense should be able to keep things together for this team, with Kool-Aid McKinstry holding down the secondary and Dallas Turner rushing the passer up front.
No, Turner isn’t Will Anderson, but he could be in line for a breakout season after posting 12.5 sacks over the last two years.
There are so many questions on offense. Milroe made some appearances last year due to Young’s injuries. He completed 31-of-53 passes for 297 yards and five scores.
The team did have CJ Dippre come over from the Maryland Terrapins, but head coach Nick Saban will have his work cut out for him this season with the offense.
Look for Alabama to bounce back.
Alabama Crimson Tide Best Bet: Over 10.5 Wins (+150)
Michigan Wolverines
Over 10.5 (-110)
Under 10.5 (-110)
2022 Record: 13-1
The Wolverines have quarterback J.J. McCarthy and Blake Corum running it back again, which should make them somewhat of a sleeper team for National Championship consideration.
McCarthy is a steady player at the position, completing 64.6% of his passes last season for 22 touchdowns and five interceptions.
As mentioned, Corum is back, but he’ll also have Donovan Edwards assisting, which is a great depth chart for the position.
The backfield will benefit from two returning guards, Zak Zinter, and Trevor Keegan, and they added some college veterans through the transfer portal to finish the offensive line.
After allowing about 16 points per game last season, the Wolverines must repeat that to remain competitive.
They have two senior edge rushers, Braiden McGregor and Jaylen Harrell. They also have seniors in the secondary with Mike Sainristil, Josh Wallace, and Makari Paige.
The Wolverines offense will be steady once again, and their defense is plenty of experience to help them contend with Ohio State and Penn State in this conference.
Michigan Wolverines Best Bet: Over 10.5 Wins (-110)
LSU Tigers
Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-110)
2022 Record: 10-4
We’ve all seen the Brian Kelly memes, but his LSU Tigers should be pretty exciting, at least at the quarterback position with Jayden Daniels.
Daniels, a transfer from Arizona State, posted over 3,800 total yards and 29 touchdowns. Eight starters are returning on offense, including all five offensive linemen, which is phenomenal for continuity.
At the receiver position, the Tigers lost Kayshon Boutte to the NFL, but Malik Nabers profiles as the No. 1 guy again, with tight end Mason Taylor continuing to build his resume.
However, the Tigers will hope for more running back production instead of depending on Daniels’ mobility.
On defense, you can’t look at this depth chart without acknowledging sophomore Harold Perkins Jr. He was fantastic as a freshman, racking up over 70 tackles and 7.5 sacks.
The return of Maason Smith should help, too. He injured his knee in the first game last season, and his presence on the defensive interior will be welcome.
This is a double-digit win team.
LSU Tigers Best Bet: Over 9.5 Wins (-110)
USC Trojans
Over 10 (-120)
Under 10 (+105)
2022 Record: 11-3
With the projected No. 1 overall draft pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, Caleb Williams, on their team, the sky is the limit for the Trojans and head coach Lincoln Riley.
The offense, outside of Williams, is going to look incredibly different with an almost complete overhaul along the offensive line through the transfer portal and wide receiver Dorian Singer coming over from Arizona.
The entire defensive line starting group are transfers, including Anthony Lucas, Kyon Barrs, Bear Alexander, Jamil Muhammad, and even linebacker Mason Cobb.
The Trojans defense last year was horrendous, though, so perhaps these new faces breathe talent into an exciting Pac-12 team.
Expect Williams to single-handedly elevate this offense.
USC Trojans Best Bet: Over 10 Wins (-120)
Texas Longhorns
Over 10 (-110)
Under 10 (-110)
2022 Record: 8-5
This is a major sleeper team for me to win the National Championship.
The Longhorns are entering their final season in the Big 12 before heading to the SEC, and it’s shaping up to be a good one.
They lost running back Bijan Robinson to the NFL Draft, but they’ll have a lot of returning players, including the entire offensive line, headlined by Kelvin Banks Jr.
On offense, the team has great weapons in wide receivers Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington.
The “x-factor” here is how much of a step forward quarterback Quinn Ewers takes this season. He showed flashes last year, especially against the Crimson Tide, before getting hurt.
This will be his last season with the Longhorns, as Arch Manning is lurking.
Have faith in Ewers. He could be a first-round NFL talent with a breakout campaign here.
Texas Longhorns Best Bet: Over 10 Wins (-110)
Florida State Seminoles
Over 10 (+100)
Under 10 (-120)
2022 Record: 10-3
The Seminoles talk has been a bit hit-and-miss over the years since Jameis Winston, but with quarterback Jordan Travis back again, they should be viewed as a threat in college football.
Last year, the offense scored over 36 points per game and had just under 485 yards per game. The team has eight starters coming back on offense, but they did have to add some offensive line help in the transfer portal, including Jeremiah Byers, Keiondre Jones, and Casey Roddick.
Don’t sleep on Travis at quarterback. He has the upside to be a first or second-round NFL draft pick as he builds off his best college football season, completing 64% of his passes for 3,214 yards, 24 touchdowns, and adding 417 rushing yards and seven scores on the ground.
Defensively, we can only hope for a step forward from Jared Verse, who’s long been viewed as a defensive stud. They also added Fentrell Cypress II and Braden Fiske through the transfer portal to handle the cornerback and defensive interior, respectively.
Look for the Seminoles to knock off the Clemson Tigers in the ACC.
Florida State Seminoles Best Bet: Over 10 Wins (+100)
Clemson Tigers
Over 10 (+105)
Under 10 (-125)
2022 Record: 11-3
With former quarterback DJ Uiagalelei completely out of the picture, the team has more hope, with Cade Klubnik under center. He wasn’t perfect as a freshman, but his upside was apparent and far beyond that of Uiagalelei.
The Tigers saw a coaching change as head coach Dabo Swinney brought in Garrett Riley from TCU, the team that made the College Football National Championship last year.
The running game should be fine with Will Shipley, but the receiver has to step up as four offensive line starters are back.
The defense has talent in safety Andrew Mukuba and linebacker Jeremiah Trotter Jr.
The coaching change should help, but this offense is a bit too uncertain despite winning 11 games last season.
Clemson Tigers Best Bet: Under 10 Wins (-125)
Penn State Nittany Lions
Over 10 (+100)
Under 10 (-120)
2022 Record: 11-2
All eyes are on sophomore quarterback Drew Allar as we prepare for a Penn State team that has an incredible 14 starters, headlined by offensive tackle Olu Fashanu, back this season.
On offense, Allar will have Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen to help him out of the backfield. They combined for nearly 2,000 yards last season.
Allar is a bit unknown. He backed up Sean Clifford and is a former five-star prospect. He’s close to six-foot-five, weighs 230 pounds, and has a big arm.
These intangibles are great, but the receiving depth is a bit questionable. However, James Franklin did make some coaching changes as it pertains to the wide receivers heading into this season.
They brought in Dante Cephas and Malik McClain from the transfer portal, but again, there’s uncertainty.
On defense, they’ll need to fill the hole of Joey Porter Jr, which Kalen King might be able to do, but we’ll have to wait and see. There’s experience along the defensive line, though, with two true seniors in Adisa Isaac and Dvon Ellies.
Despite the upside of Allar and the returning starters, it’s not yet apparent that this team can beat Ohio State and Michigan.
The other teams on their schedule should be fairly easy, so we’ll take the over if an upset happens. At worst, you’ll get a push here.
Penn State Nittany Lions Best Bet: Over 10 Wins (+100)
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