We’re inching closer to July, and once that’s complete, we won’t have a month without football until February 2024.
That’s right. The NFL season is quickly approaching, including the preseason, which begins on August 3.
It means June is a great time to have an early look at the 2023-24 NFL season and find early value in the win total market. Earlier this month we looked at the AFC East, NFC West, and AFC South. Today we turn our attention to the NFC East.
The Philadelphia Eagles took the division with a 14-3 record last season and rode that all the way to the Super Bowl where the lost out to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants joined the Eagles in the post-season, the Washington Commanders also finishing above .500. It made this the only division where a team did not have a losing season.
WynnBET.com has markets live for every NFL division and we’ll examine each team in the NFC East to provide a best bet and prediction for the division.
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NFC East Win Totals
Dallas Cowboys
Over 10 (-120)
Under 10 (+105)
2022 Record: 12-5
The Cowboys lost some pieces, like center Connor McGovern and tight end Dalton Schultz to free agency, but added running back Ronald Jones to compliment Tony Pollard. They also traded for cornerback Stephon Gilmore and wide receiver Brandin Cooks.
The Gilmore and Cooks additions were huge as the Cowboys needed to get better in coverage and a weapon to go opposite CeeDee Lamb. Michael Gallup was thought to be that guy, but with the injuries, it never quite materialized.
Moving to the draft, the Cowboys added Mazi Smith to help tighten their interior defensive line and took Luke Schoonmaker, who will develop behind Jake Ferguson.
The Cowboys won 12 games just a year ago, with quarterback Dak Prescott throwing a career-high 15 interceptions. If he can take better care of the ball, that’ll be enough for the Cowboys to surpass 10 wins.
Philadelphia Eagles
Over 11.5 (-105)
Under 11.5 (-115)
2022 Record: 14-3
The reigning NFC champions who just barely lost in the Super Bowl, the Eagles, will be right back in the thick of it this season.
Their biggest loss was probably their defensive and offensive coordinators — Jonathan Gannon and Shane Steichen, respectively. Steichen called the plays recently and was excellent in helping develop quarterback Jalen Hurts.
In free agency, the team lost running back Miles Sanders, linebacker T.J. Edwards, defensive tackle Javon Hargrave, guard Isaac Seumalo, safety Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, and more.
While that sounds like a lot, they drafted well. The Eagles signed arguably the No. 1 player in the draft Jalen Carter, who will replace Hargrave. Joining Carter to make the move to Philly from Georgia is pass rushing linebacker Nolan Smith. Finally they traded for running back DeAndre Swift, who joins fellow signing Rashaad Penny in the back field and the hope is they'll combine well to replace Sanders.
The Eagles' defense is loaded, especially up front, and their offense will continue to produce at a high level.
In 2023, the Eagles have some difficult opponents, but this is still one of the best teams in football. The chance they lose more than five games doesn’t seem high, barring injury.
New York Giants
Over 7.5 (-125)
Under 7.5 (+105)
2022 Record: 9-7-1
The Giants are an interesting team, as they seemed to defy all expectations from last year. They locked up quarterback Daniel Jones to an extension and continue to work with running back Saquon Barkley to keep him there for the foreseeable future.
Free agency provided a lot of transactions for the G-Men, but they weren’t all that noteworthy besides some wide receiver and cornerback depth.
The Giants needed wide receiver help, and they drafted speedster Jalin Hyatt. He may be a bit one-dimensional, but he should help disrupt the defense in his first year.
The Giants also made two stellar draft picks in the first and second rounds, with cornerback Deonte Bank and center John Michael-Schmitz.
Looking up and down the schedule, I’d predict eight wins, which just gets them under the threshold. These wins include the Washington Commanders twice, Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Los Angeles Rams, Arizona Cardinals, and Las Vegas Raiders. Could they lose any of those games? They certainly could, so getting some plus-line value might be a sneaky good bet, but I’d pass on this line altogether.
Washington Commanders
Over 6.5 (-115)
Under 6.5 (-105)
2022 Record: 8-8-1
The Sam Howell experience is here as the Commanders look to rely a bit more on their defense to help the young quarterback. It wasn’t too long ago that Howell was viewed as the top overall quarterback prospect, but he was eventually drafted in the fifth round.
The team brought in Jacoby Brissett as a veteran backup at QB and added to their offensive line with Andrew Wylie. Their top draft pick, cornerback Emmanuel Forbes, should help out their secondary, too.
The Howell experience will be interesting, but in this division, they could lose all six games, meaning they need to lose just five more to nail the under.
The coaching staff is competent enough, so this might be another skip.
NFC East Win Totals Best Bet
Of all the over/under win totals, the Cowboys’ over at -120 seems like the best bet. There’s still some value. They are a team who have improved their roster in key positions this offseason and have a quarterback who, if he remains injury free, is a real asset. Expect another solid season from the Cowboys, who should land a playoff spot in an easy NFC conference.
NFC East Win Totals Best Bet: Cowboys Over 9.5 (-120)
NFC East Predicted Final Standings
Not only is a team repeating a division win tough, but the same order? That doesn’t happen very often.
We could see the Cowboys make that leap to first place, but the Eagles are still way too good and have an incredibly deep defense.
The Howell experience should keep the Commanders in the basement while the Giants and Daniel Jones toil in limbo, especially with that wide receiver group.
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
Washington Commanders
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