NFL Big Game 2023: Making the Case to Bet on the Eagles and Chiefs

We’re less than a week away from the biggest football game of the year. The Eagles and Chiefs have each landed in Phoenix ahead of Sunday’s big game at State Farm Stadium. Philadelphia remains 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 50.5.

Money will continue to come in on both sides, which is why it’s worthwhile to make the case for both teams winning on Sunday. That way you can decide which case is more convincing, and it might help you make your pick.

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Why you should bet on the Chiefs:

-- For starters, Kansas City is getting points ATS and you can get the moneyline at +105. There’s automatic value in that given this is a Chiefs team that has appeared in three of the last four NFL big games.

-- Patrick Mahomes is objectively the best quarterback in football. He outdueled Joe Burrow despite playing through a high-ankle sprain. He threw for 326 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the conference championship game against Cincinnati while adding a clutch five-yard scramble that led to Harrison Butker’s game-winning field goal.

-- Chris Jones is a legitimate game-wrecker. The star interior defensive lineman posted 15.5 sacks during the regular season and 2.0 last week against the Bengals. He’s a Defensive Player of the Year finalist for a reason. His presence and the attention he commands from an opposing offensive line helps free things up for the other pass rushers, namely Frank Clark.

-- Even without Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs had the best offense in football. The sum of the parts beyond Travis Kelce of Juju Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Isiah Pacheco, Jerick McKinnon has worked wonders. That’s a credit to the greatness of Mahomes and Kelce, but also Andy Reid and Eric Bieniemy.

-- Kansas City’s defense ranked eighth in rushing yards allowed during the regular season and has remained impressive in stopping the run through two postseason games.

Why you should bet on the Eagles:

-- I’m convinced Philadelphia has the better roster. There isn’t a glaring hole on either side of the football. Philadelphia has the better defense, the better offensive line and the better weapons offensively.

-- Jalen Hurts, while not Mahomes, will likely be the runner-up in this year’s MVP race. He threw for 22 regular season touchdowns to just six interceptions and is one of, if not the most dangerous rushing quarterback in football given his combination of size, speed and power.

-- While Cincinnati’s offensive line got bullied all game long against the Chiefs, Philadelphia should fare much better in that regard.

-- Haason Reddick, Josh Sweat and Javon Hargrave could dominate, just as they did against the Giants and 49ers. The odds of that taking place go up significantly is Mahomes isn’t 100 percent.

-- The last time the Chiefs were in the title game with Mahomes playing through an injury, Kansas City got smoked 31-9 by the Buccaneers. There are similarities to this matchup when you consider how complete and dangerous Philadelphia’s roster is.

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