We’re down to just four teams remaining in the NFL playoffs with the Chiefs hosting the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game and the Eagles hosting the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game.
It will be a two-game showcase of the league’s top superpowers as we don’t have any Cinderella story this season. We’re set to have an incredible Super Bowl matchup no matter how this weekend’s action shakes out.
Below you’ll find betting info and edges for both marquee matchups.
San Francisco 49ers (13-6 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (9-9 ATS)
Spread: Eagles -2.5
Moneyline: 49ers +127, Eagles -150
Philadelphia dominated the Giants in the Divisional Round as a reminder of its tremendous ceiling. Jalen Hurts’ right shoulder appears to be just fine, and the Eagles defense had its way with Daniel Jones and Co.
We saw some ugly moments from Brock Purdy last Sunday against the Cowboys, but the 49ers got lucky that none of those mistakes resulted in turnovers. Winning at a rocking and hostile Lincoln Financial Field against the No. 1 passing defense will be Purdy’s toughest task yet. Thankfully he’s surrounded by superstar playmakers with Kyle Shanahan’s offensive brilliance pulling the strings.
The matchup of the game will be the speed of 49ers linebackers Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw against the running ability of Jalen Hurts. San Francisco’s top-ranked scoring defense against Philly’s third-ranked scoring offense will be the top matchup to watch.
Your pick in this game will likely come down to whether or not you think Purdy finally looks like “Mr. Irrelevant.” It’s certainly possible, but I’ll probably end up riding with the 49ers as they’ve been essentially an extra source of income for me over the last few months. I’ll go down with the ship!
Cincinnati Bengals (13-4-1 ATS) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (5-12-1 ATS)
Spread: Bengals -1.5
Moneyline: Bengals -125, Chiefs +1-5
This game opened as a pick-em and immediately moved to Chiefs -1.0. The line has been bet all the way back to Bengals -1.5, which is understandable given Patrick Mahomes’ high-ankle sprain.
But I’m on Cincinnati regardless after what I saw from them in Buffalo. The Bengals flat out embarrassed the Bills, particularly in the trenches. An offensive line full of backups was tremendous, and while Chris Jones is better than anyone on the Bills defensive line, I saw enough to continue to believe in that group. Lou Anarumo continues to be one of the NFL’s predominant defensive minds. Holding Josh Allen and Co. to 10 points was a comprehensive masterstroke. Now his group gets to chase a hobbled Mahomes. I can promise you the home field advantage of being at Arrowhead Stadium will mean nothing to Joe Burrow, who remains an absolute assassin. His teammates have already renamed Kansas City’s home field as “Burrowhead.”
On paper, the Chiefs offense has a huge edge in the passing game against Cincinnati’s 23rd-ranked pass defense, but a less than 100% Mahomes negates a decent bit of that edge in my mind.
Cincinnati has won three straight games against Kansas City, all of which have come in the last 13 months.