We’ve reached the pinnacle of the college football season as we’ll crown a new national champion on Monday night. The Georgia Bulldogs are looking for a second consecutive title with TCU aiming to complete one of college football's most impressive Cinderella stories in recent memory.
Below you’ll find betting info and notable trends and edges that you might want to consider before placing a wager on the big game.
TCU (13-1, 10-3-1 ATS) vs. Georgia (14-0, 7-7 ATS)
Moneyline: TCU +380, Georgia -500
Spread: Georgia -13.0
Georgia is one win away from repeating as national champions with only the Horned Frogs standing in their way. The Bulldogs trailed 38-24 entering the fourth quarter against Ohio State in the College Football Playoff semis but rallied to win 42-41 on a last minute 10-yard touchdown pass from Stetson Bennett to Adonai Mitchell.
Despite the narrow win, Georgia is a monster favorite in Monday’s national championship game. TCU beat Michigan outright, 51-45, despite closing as nine-point underdogs to earn its spot in the natty. Sure, Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy threw two pick-sixes, but TCU’s Max Duggan also threw two interceptions himself and each team lost a fumble. TCU led by as many as 19 points in the third quarter.
The Horned Frogs marched the ball up and down the field consistently against Michigan’s vaunted defense, most impressively with 263 rushing yards. Repeating that performance will be a challenge against Georgia’s top-ranked rushing defense. However, Georgia ranks 51st in passing yards allowed, a spot where TCU’s 25th-ranked passing offense should have a slight edge. Georgia’s defense got torched through the air against Ohio State as C.J. Stroud threw for 348 yards and four scores without an interception. Both Emeka Egbuka and Marvin Harrison Jr. had more than 100 yards receiving.
Stopping Georgia will be near-impossible for a TCU defense that ranks 74th in total yards allowed and 57th in points allowed. It’s all about takeaways and winning the turnover battle, something TCU has excelled at all season defensively and a trend that obviously showed itself against Michigan.
Georgia has more NFL talent, including expected top five pick Jalen Carter, who anchors the Bulldogs defensive line. But the reality is that the Bulldogs have been pedestrian all season ATS while TCU has spent the entire proving their doubters wrong.
That doesn’t mean I’m going to sprint to bet TCU moneyline, but it does mean it’s worth thinking twice before laying nearly two touchdowns with Georgia.