Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) attempts to cover the puck in front of Colorado Avalanche center Andrew Cogliano (11) in the first period in game three of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports.
Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) attempts to cover the puck in front of Colorado Avalanche center Andrew Cogliano (11) in the first period in game three of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Preview: Odds, Splits, and Prediction for Game 4 of Stanley Cup Final

Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final figures to be a big one.

The Colorado Avalanche could get one step closer to the team's first Stanley Cup since 2001 with a win on Tampa Bay’s home ice. The Lightning, who are the two-time defending champions, can even the series back up and really put pressure on the Avalanche.

So what will it be? Let’s take a look at the betting information at WynnBET’s online sportsbook and try to project what will transpire on the ice. All betting information as of Wednesday morning.

Betting Odds

  • Puck line: Colorado -1.5 (+220)/Tampa Bay +1.5 (-270)

  • Moneyline: Avalanche -115/Lightning -105

  • Total: 6

Betting Splits

Puck Line

  • 69.8% of tickets on Colorado

  • 84.3% of money on Tampa Bay

Moneyline

  • 60.1% of tickets on Tampa Bay

  • 63.9% of money on Tampa Bay

Total

  • 56.1% of tickets on Over

  • 65.4% of money on Under

Injury Report

Colorado

  • Andre Burakovsky — Day-to-day (Hand)

  • Nazem Kadri — Day-to-day (Thumb)

Tampa Bay

  • Brayden Point — Day-to-day (Leg)

  • Nikita Kucherov — Game-time decision

One Trend To Know

The current total for Game 4 is six goals, with -110 juice on each side. Early money is coming in on the under, but that certainly hasn’t been the case so far in this series.

All three games of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final have gone over thus far, starting with Colorado’s 4-3 victory in Game 1. This includes Game 2, when the Lightning didn’t even score in a 7-0 loss to the Avalanche. Tampa Bay then did its part in a 6-2 victory in Game 3.

How many goals are in store for Wednesday’s Game 4?

Prediction

I was able to redeem myself from a terrible Game 2 prediction by backing the Bolts yet again in Game 3. It always seemed likely that Tampa Bay was going to win one of these two meetings at home, and Monday’s matchup made the most sense.

In a 6-2 win in Game 3, a total of six different Lightning players scored while Andrei Vasilevskiy made 37 stops on the 39 shots he faced. Now it remains to be seen how Colorado will respond, especially after giving up four goals in the second period alone.

But I don’t think we should let one period change our outlook of this series. Colorado was -625 to win the Stanley Cup before Game 3, and is now priced at -310 to do so at WynnBET’s online sportsbook. The Avalanche are the better team, and that has been the case for much of the year.

It is also pretty telling that the Avalanche have better odds to win Game 4 than they did in Game 3. WynnBET had Colorado at -110 for Monday’s matchup, and the Avs are now priced at -115 even after losing by four goals last time out.

Expect a bounce-back performance from Colorado in Game 4.

Prediction: Colorado 4, Tampa Bay 2