Baylor Bears wide receiver Drew Estrada (18) celebrates with teammates after catching a touchdown pass against the Oklahoma State Cowboys during the first half of the Big 12 Conference championship game at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports.
Baylor Bears wide receiver Drew Estrada (18) celebrates with teammates after catching a touchdown pass against the Oklahoma State Cowboys during the first half of the Big 12 Conference championship game at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports.

2022 Big 12 Football Win Totals: Betting Lines, Best Bet and Prediction

Today marks the official start of the summer on the calendar, but that’s actually a good thing. It means we are that much closer to the start of college football, which is slated to begin in late August.

Nobody needs to be reminded that we are entering a dead time in the sports-betting world, though that just means there is more time to do our homework on the upcoming football season. Of course, I’m talking about win totals since WynnBET continues to release select betting lines for college football teams.

The WynnBET trading team did live streams when releasing win totals for the SEC West, SEC East, and Big Ten East. I would highly recommend checking out the replay of such streams to help you bet on those particular leagues.

For now, let’s turn our attention to my favorite conference in college sports.

Big 12 Win Totals

2022 Win Totals at WynnBET:

  • Oklahoma: 9.5 (Over -115/Under +105)

  • Texas: 8.5 (Over -105/Under -105)

  • Oklahoma State: 8.5 (Over +115/Under -125)

  • Baylor: 8 (Over -105/Under -105)

  • TCU: 6.5 (Over -140/Under +125)

  • Kansas State: 6.5 (Over -120/Under +110)

  • Iowa State: 6.5 (Over -105/Under -105)

  • West Virginia: 5.5 (Over -120/Under +110)

  • Texas Tech: 5.5 (Over +120/Under -135)

  • Kansas: 2 (Over -150/Under +135)

All odds as of Tuesday, June 21.

2021 Final Big 12 Standings

  • Baylor 12-2

  • Oklahoma State 12-2

  • Oklahoma 11-2

  • Kansas State 8-5

  • Iowa State 7-6

  • Texas Tech 7-6

  • West Virginia 6-7

  • Texas 5-7

  • TCU 5-7

  • Kansas 2-10

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These Numbers Will Move Quickly

On the SEC West win totals show, WynnBET Sr. Trader Matt Lindeman admitted that they were going to make mistakes because they were earlier than everyone else on these prices. That means they will react to the market, so expect these numbers to move quickly.

Arkansas’ win total was a perfect example of that. WynnBET opened Arkansas at over/under 6.5 wins, with the over actually juiced to +120. I recommend betting the over in my write-up from that show, and I know I wasn’t the only one that was ready to back the Razorbacks. Within a few hours, the line flipped to plus-money on the under. 

As of June 21, Arkansas' win total is now seven wins on the nose. Both the over and under have a -105 juice as well. Jump on these numbers right away if you see a good price.

Oklahoma Sooners Back On Top

After not winning the Big 12 crown last year — for the first time since 2014 — Oklahoma has the highest win total entering the 2022 campaign. But the gap between the Sooners and the rest of the league doesn’t appear to be as wide. 

Three other teams are within 1.5 games of Oklahoma’s win total at this point in the summer. The Sooners have typically been a College Football Playoff contender with a double-digit win total, but this is what happens when you lose your head coach and quarterback.

Lincoln Riley and Caleb Williams are both now at USC, while Brent Venables and Dillon Gabriel are slated to step in their shoes. The unknown of how this new duo will do, along with the fact Baylor and Oklahoma State met in the Big 12 championship game a year ago, means this conference race should be more compelling than usual.

I’m not sure if a team from this league can make the CFP, but the Big 12 will certainly be more competitive compared to recent years.

One Bet To Consider 

It might be the most-juiced win total, but there is a good reason for that. Under 5.5 wins for Texas Tech is the best bet to make in the Big 12 ahead of the 2022 campaign.

Texas Tech probably won’t be the worst team in the league, because Kansas still exists after all, but the gap might not be as wide this year. Looking at Texas Tech’s schedule, a three-win season is probably the most-likely outcome while six wins would be best-case scenario.

The Red Raiders can start the year off with a win against Murray State, but all of it gets dicey after that. They should be underdogs against both Houston and North Carolina State to close out non-conference play.

TTU then begins the league slate with a home meeting against Texas, where the spread could be double-digits. The Red Raiders follow that up with back-to-back road games against Kansas State and Oklahoma State.

It wouldn’t surprise me if Texas Tech’s lone conference win came against Kansas, but a home matchup with West Virginia and a road tilt against TCU are potential wins as well. Yet the Red Raiders have not won more than three games in league play since 2015. 

Texas Tech also has to replace plenty of production on both sides of the ball, while putting a new coaching staff in place after Matt Wells was fired midseason in 2021. There might be better days ahead for this program in a new-look Big 12, but things certainly won’t be easy for Joey McGuire in his first year at the helm.