Duke Blue Devils forward AJ Griffin, Wendell Moore, Paolo Banchero (right) speak to media at a press conference. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
Duke Blue Devils forward AJ Griffin, Wendell Moore, Paolo Banchero (right) speak to media at a press conference. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels March Madness Final Four betting preview

The Duke Blue Devils (32-6, 16-4 ACC) and North Carolina Tar Heels (28-9, 15-5 ACC) take the court in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday with a chance to play in the championship game on the line. Bookmakers have installed Duke as 4.5-point favorites for the contest, at which begins at 8:49 PM (airing on TBS).

Game Info and Betting Lines for Duke vs. North Carolina

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 2, 2022

  • Game Time: 8:49 PM ET

  • TV Channel: TBS

  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana

  • Arena: Caesars Superdome

  • Spread: Duke -4

  • Total: 151

  • Moneyline: Duke -200, North Carolina +165

Duke Betting Stats and Info

  • The Blue Devils have won 32 of the 38 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (84.2%).

  • Duke has gone 29-5 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -204 or shorter (85.3%).

  • Against the spread (ATS), Duke is 22-17-1 this year.

  • As 4.5-point favorites or more, the Blue Devils are 17-16-1 against the spread.

  • Duke has played 38 games this season, and 23 of them have hit the over.

  • The average point total in Blue Devils games this season is 5.5 less points than the over/under of 151 in this matchup.

North Carolina Betting Stats and Info

  • This season, the Tar Heels have won six out of the 11 games, or 54.5%, in which they've been the underdog.

  • North Carolina is 3-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +167 or more on the moneyline.

  • North Carolina has 22 wins against the spread in 37 games this year.

  • The Tar Heels have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more five times this year and are 4-1 ATS in those matchups.

  • North Carolina's games this year have gone over the point total 22 times in 39 opportunities (56.4%).

  • Tar Heels games this year have averaged a total of 147.1 points, 3.9 less than the point total in this matchup.

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Impact Players

Duke Blue Devils

  • Paolo Banchero posts 17.1 points and 7.8 rebounds per contest -- both team highs. He is also averaging 3.2 assists, shooting 47.8% from the floor and 33.3% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.

  • Wendell Moore paces the Blue Devils at 4.4 assists per contest, while also putting up 5.2 rebounds and 13.5 points.

  • Mark Williams averages 11.3 points, 7.5 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.5 steals and 2.9 blocked shots (seventh in college basketball).

North Carolina Tar Heels

  • Armando Bacot is the Tar Heels' top scorer (16.5 points per game) and rebounder (12.8, third in college basketball), and posts 1.5 assists.

  • Brady Manek is putting up 15.2 points, 6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, making 49.5% of his shots from the field and 39.8% from 3-point range, with 2.5 treys per game.

  • Caleb Love tops the Tar Heels in assists (3.7 per game), and posts 15.7 points and 3.4 rebounds. He also delivers 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.

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