WynnBET is already looking ahead to the 2022-23 college football season.
The calendar might have just flipped to April. Spring ball might not be completed. And there are plenty of other sports going on, including the final three games of the NCAA Tournament. Yet WynnBET released its win totals for the SEC West on Friday, April 1.
Senior traders Matt Lindeman and Motoi Pearson broke it all down during their latest live stream, a 30-minute show that is available on Twitter. It is certainly worth watching for their insight while setting the win totals for each team in the SEC West.
WynnBET is opening college football win totals LIVE! (SEC West Edition) https://t.co/EkqaL07c2h— WynnBET (@WynnBET) April 1, 2022
SEC West Win Totals
Opening odds at WynnBET:
Alabama: 11.5 wins (Over +200/Under -250)
Texas A&M: 9.0 wins (Over -125/Under +105)
Ole Miss: 8.0 wins (-110 both sides)
Arkansas: 6.5 wins (Over +120/Under -140)
Mississippi State: 6.5 wins (-110 both sides)
LSU: 6.0 wins (Over -125/Under +105)
Auburn: 5.0 wins (Over -120/Under +100)
All odds as of Friday, April 1. Get in on the action now on your WynnBET app!
One Thing to Know
WynnBET was late to the party last year, so they wanted to be early on win totals this offseason. WynnBET is the first to release win totals, and plan to release even more in the weeks to come.
The downside of this, of course, is that there is not a lot of information to go on. Lindeman acknowledged early in the stream that “there is not much to look at” when trying to do research on these college football teams.
Lindeman said he read articles on spring practices and some way-too-early top-25 rankings from January in preparation for the show. He also noted that he checked Bill Connelly’s final 2021 SP+ rankings (from January) as well as his own final power ratings from the previous season.
“I’m guessing we are going to have some mistakes in here since we are opening so early,” Lindeman said.
The max bet that WynnBET is taking on these win totals right now is $2,000. They expect to increase that limit to $5,000 at some point this summer.
Good Luck Stopping Alabama
It is no secret that Nick Saban’s Crimson Tide will be a contender once again this year.
Alabama is coming off a runner-up finish in what was considered a down year. In his first full season as a starter, quarterback Bryce Young won the Heisman after throwing for 4,872 passing yards and 47 touchdowns. He’s hoping to build off that on his way to becoming a top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.
On the live stream, Lindeman noted that his numbers project Alabama to be favored by more than two touchdowns against all but three teams. In back-to-back games, the Crimson Tide are projected 13-point favorites against Texas A&M on Oct. 8, and 9-point favorites in a road clash with Tennessee on Oct. 13.
As a result, Alabama’s true win total is right at 11 wins. WynnBET set it at 11.5, in hopes of getting action on the over.
One Bet to Consider
The number that jumped out to me immediately was Arkansas’ win total.
After going 9-4 in Sam Pittman’s second year, WynnBET is expecting a drop off for the Razorbacks this fall. The opening number is over/under 6.5 wins, with the over actually more enticing to bettors thanks to a +120 price.
The Razorbacks are losing some key pieces, including receiver Treylon Burks. But there is a chance that Jadon Haselwood, a transfer from Oklahoma, can step up in his absence. More importantly, quarterback KJ Jefferson is back and is ready to lead this run-heavy attack.
At first glance at the schedule, the Razorbacks don’t have a lot of layups. But they do seem to have winnable games against the likes of Cincinnati, Missouri State, BYU, Auburn, Liberty, LSU and Missouri. There is a real chance Arkansas could go 4-0 in November alone.
I actually faded the Razorbacks last year, but I won’t be making that mistake this time. I am backing Pittman, and the over is a bet I'd recommend taking right away.